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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Completions
Player Prop Week 14

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Las Vegas Raiders

Baker Mayfield Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers to be the 8th-most pass-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 62.3% pass rate.

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may fall-off.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year.

Baker Mayfield's passing accuracy has been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 63.6% to 70.4%.

The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers rank as the worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is suggested by the Buccaneers being a huge 7-point favorite in this game.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to have just 127.1 offensive plays run: the 4th-fewest out of all the games this week.

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