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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Completions
Player Prop Week 20

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Baker Mayfield Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-108/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -148 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Buccaneers are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Detroit Lions safeties project as the worst group of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Buccaneers to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-lowest rate in football vs. the Detroit Lions defense this year (66.6% Adjusted Completion%).

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