Baker Mayfield Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Baker Mayfield

NFL · Player Props

Baker Mayfield

QB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Completions

Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 9:06 PM EST

Analysis

Baker Mayfield Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-139/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line suggests a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
This year, the porous Green Bay Packers defense has given up a staggering 71.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 10th-highest rate in football.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are anticipated by the model to run only 63.4 total plays in this contest: the 6th-fewest among all teams this week.
In this week's contest, Baker Mayfield is projected by the predictive model to wind up with the 8th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 33.0.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.7 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.
With a bad 61.3% Adjusted Completion% (14th percentile) this year, Baker Mayfield rates as one of the least accurate passers in football.
When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Green Bay's CB corps has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 10th-best in the league.

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