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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Completions
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Baker Mayfield Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Buccaneers ranks as the 9th-best in football this year.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 3rd-highest rate in the NFL vs. the Titans defense this year (75.8% Adjusted Completion%).
  • As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Tennessee's safety corps has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the 4th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive strategy to tilt 4.8% more towards running than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 62.5 total plays in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The Buccaneers have called the 10th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 56.8 plays per game.
  • The leading projections forecast Baker Mayfield to attempt 33.1 passes in this game, on balance: the 9th-fewest among all quarterbacks.

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