Baker Mayfield Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Baker Mayfield

NFL · Player Props

Baker Mayfield

QB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Carries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Denver Broncos · Week 3, 2024

Updated Sep 22, 2024 7:32 PM EST

Analysis

Baker Mayfield Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+140/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a running game script.
The Broncos defensive ends grade out as the worst group of DEs in the league since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

Favors Under

Right now, the 6th-least run-centric team in football (37.7% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Buccaneers.
Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers to call the 6th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The 6th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.7 per game on average).

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