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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Carries
Player Prop Week 12

New York Giants vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Baker Mayfield Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Buccaneers are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a running game script.

The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 3rd-least run-centric team in the league (36.8% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see only 126.8 plays on offense run: the 2nd-fewest out of all the games this week.

The New York Giants defensive tackles project as the best group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

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