Baker Mayfield Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Baker Mayfield

NFL · Player Props

Baker Mayfield

QB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Carries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Washington Commanders · Week 1, 2024

Updated Sep 8, 2024 8:26 PM EST

Analysis

Baker Mayfield Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's line implies a running game script for the Buccaneers, who are favored by 3.5 points.
At the moment, the 7th-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Buccaneers.
The Washington defensive tackles profile as the 5th-worst group of DTs in the league last year in regard to stopping the run.

Favors Under

At the moment, the 8th-least run-heavy offense in the NFL (37.7% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Buccaneers.

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