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Bailey Zappe

Bailey Zappe TD Passes
Player Prop Week 14

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Bailey Zappe TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's line implies a throwing game script for the Patriots, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
  • The leading projections forecast the New England Patriots offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.77 seconds per play.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Patriots to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.8% pass rate.
  • The leading projections forecast Bailey Zappe to throw 31.0 passes in this game, on balance: the 6th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
  • Bailey Zappe's 52.3% Adjusted Completion% this year represents a remarkable regression in his throwing accuracy over last year's 70.0% figure.
  • The passing TD line reads "0" on the back of Bailey Zappe's trading card this year.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 5th-lowest rate in football vs. the Steelers defense this year (65.9% Adjusted Completion%).

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