Bailey Zappe Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

My Account Log Out

reorder

Bailey Zappe

NFL · Player Props

Bailey Zappe

QB · New England Patriots

Rushing Yards

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 4, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Bailey Zappe Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New England Patriots to run on 41.8% of their downs: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have 134.7 plays on offense called: the most among all games this week.
While Bailey Zappe has garnered 0.0% of his offense's carries in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in New England's rushing attack in this contest at 8.9%.
This year, the stout Los Angeles Chargers run defense has conceded a meager 4.59 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's running game: the 25th-lowest rate in the league.
The Chargers defensive ends grade out as the 2nd-worst group of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

Favors Under

A passing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -4.5-point underdog this week.
The predictive model expects Bailey Zappe to garner 2.7 carries this week, on average: the 9th-fewest out of all QBs.

More Bailey Zappe Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow