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Bailey Zappe

Bailey Zappe Completions
Player Prop Week 14

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Bailey Zappe Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-103/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -127.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's line implies a throwing game script for the Patriots, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
  • The leading projections forecast the New England Patriots offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.77 seconds per play.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Patriots to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.8% pass rate.
  • The leading projections forecast Bailey Zappe to throw 31.0 passes in this game, on balance: the 6th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
  • Bailey Zappe's 52.3% Adjusted Completion% this year represents a remarkable regression in his throwing accuracy over last year's 70.0% figure.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 5th-lowest rate in football vs. the Steelers defense this year (65.9% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers profile as the 6th-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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