Austin Hooper Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Austin Hooper

NFL · Player Props

Austin Hooper

TE · New England Patriots

Receptions

Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots · Week 9, 2024

Updated Nov 4, 2024 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Hooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-118/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Patriots are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
Austin Hooper has been much more involved in his team's pass attack this year (11.4% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (5.3%).

Favors Under

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Patriots to pass on 52.9% of their chances: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The projections expect the Patriots to call the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The 10th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Patriots this year (only 56.2 per game on average).
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Opposing teams teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Tennessee Titans, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (a measly 27.9 per game) this year.

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