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Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Austin Hooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-118/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Patriots are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Austin Hooper has been much more involved in his team's pass attack this year (11.4% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (5.3%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Patriots to pass on 52.9% of their chances: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect the Patriots to call the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The 10th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Patriots this year (only 56.2 per game on average).
  • The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing teams teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Tennessee Titans, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (a measly 27.9 per game) this year.

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