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Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots

Austin Hooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+106/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +114 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -6.5-point underdog in this game.

Opposing offenses have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in football.

Austin Hooper's 22.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 9.9.

As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Jacksonville's collection of safeties has been very bad this year, ranking as the worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Patriots as the 3rd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

With respect to a defense's influence on tempo, at 28.79 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Patriots as the 10th-slowest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment.

The New England O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Austin Hooper's 48.5% Adjusted Catch% this season conveys a substantial decline in his receiving proficiency over last season's 81.0% mark.

This year, the fierce Jaguars defense has given up a meager 70.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 8th-smallest rate in the NFL.

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