My Account Log Out

reorder

Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

New England Patriots vs Houston Texans

Austin Hooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the Patriots being a -4.5-point underdog in this game.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 127.8 offensive plays called: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.

Austin Hooper has been much more involved in his offense's passing offense this season (11.2% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (5.3%).

The Texans safeties project as the 8th-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Patriots to be the 3rd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 50.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Patriots grades out as the 5th-worst in the league this year.

Austin Hooper's 48.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this season conveys a remarkable diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last season's 81.0% figure.

More Austin Hooper Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™