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Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

San Francisco 49ers vs New England Patriots

Austin Hooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+126/-174).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -174.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Patriots, who are big -11.5-point underdogs.

The 49ers defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (35.2 per game) since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the New England Patriots to be the 4th-least pass-focused team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 55.3% pass rate.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to see just 122.0 offensive plays called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.

The 7th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Patriots since the start of last season (just 56.3 per game on average).

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Patriots ranks as the 5th-worst in football since the start of last season.

Austin Hooper's possession skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 81.0% to 41.1%.

More Austin Hooper Player Props

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