Austin Hooper Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Austin Hooper

NFL · Player Props

Austin Hooper

TE · New England Patriots

Receptions

Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots · Week 15, 2024

Updated Dec 15, 2024 9:06 PM EST

Analysis

Austin Hooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Patriots are underdogs this week, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their standard game plan.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Austin Hooper's 23.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 9.9.
As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Arizona's group of LBs has been lousy this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the league.

Favors Under

The projections expect this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the New England Patriots grades out as the worst in the league this year.
Austin Hooper's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 81.0% to 73.1%.

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