My Account Log Out
 
 
Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Austin Hooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the New England Patriots are expected by our trusted projection set to call 66.0 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • Austin Hooper's 23.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 9.9.
  • The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has conceded the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (80.7%) vs. TEs this year (80.7%).
  • As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Indianapolis's LB corps has been dreadful this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 55.4% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • In regards to pass protection (and the effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Patriots grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.
  • Austin Hooper's receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 81.0% to 70.3%.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™