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Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Austin Hooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+145/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -190.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Patriots, who are giant -7.5-point underdogs.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to pass on 59.0% of their chances: the 5th-highest rate on the slate this week.

Austin Hooper's 22.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 9.9.

When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Miami's collection of LBs has been terrible this year, grading out as the 8th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

When talking about pocket protection (and the significance it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the New England Patriots grades out as the worst in football this year.

Austin Hooper's 66.9% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a noteworthy diminishment in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 81.0% mark.

This year, the daunting Dolphins defense has given up a feeble 70.7% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 4th-smallest rate in the league.

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