My Account Log Out

reorder

Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Rams

Austin Hooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots are a 4-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.

Austin Hooper's 22.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 9.9.

When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's LB corps has been terrible this year, projecting as the 4th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Patriots as the 7th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

With respect to a defense's effect on tempo, at 29.16 seconds per play, the projections expect the New England Patriots as the 4th-slowest in football (adjusted for context) at the present time.

Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Los Angeles Rams, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.6 per game) this year.

In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Patriots ranks as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.

Austin Hooper's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 81.0% to 62.9%.

More Austin Hooper Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™