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Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots

Austin Hooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +155 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Patriots, who are enormous -9-point underdogs.

The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

With an exceptional 81.0% Adjusted Completion% (83rd percentile) last year, Austin Hooper ranks as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL among tight ends.

The Bengals pass defense has surrendered the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (82.4%) to tight ends last year (82.4%).

The Bengals safeties grade out as the worst safety corps in the NFL last year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 9th-least pass-heavy team in football (58.6% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Patriots.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Patriots are forecasted by the predictive model to call just 60.7 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.

The 8th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the New England Patriots last year (just 56.2 per game on average).

The New England Patriots offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the league last year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

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