Austin Hooper Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Austin Hooper

NFL · Player Props

Austin Hooper

TE · Las Vegas Raiders

Receptions

Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 17, 2023

Updated Jan 1, 2024 12:56 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Hooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders grades out as the 7th-best in football this year.
With a stellar 77.8% Adjusted Completion Rate (76th percentile) this year, Austin Hooper stands as one of the best possession receivers in the league among tight ends.
As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Indianapolis's LB corps has been terrible this year, ranking as the 5th-worst in the league.

Favors Under

At the moment, the 7th-least pass-focused offense in the league (57.3% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Las Vegas Raiders.
The projections expect the Raiders to be the 4th-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 28.57 seconds per play.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.7 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.
Austin Hooper has been used less as a potential target this season (38.8% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (60.1%).
Austin Hooper's 1.3 adjusted receptions per game this season illustrates a noteworthy diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last season's 2.5 mark.

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