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Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

Austin Hooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+114/-145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a huge -10.5-point underdog this week.

The model projects Austin Hooper to be much more involved in his offense's passing attack in this contest (10.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (4.7% in games he has played).

In regards to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Las Vegas Raiders ranks as the 6th-best in the league this year.

Austin Hooper's possession skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 75.6% to 79.0%.

When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Kansas City's group of safeties has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the least pass-centric offense in football (57.2% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Las Vegas Raiders.

With respect to a defense's effect on pace, at 28.57 seconds per snap, the projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to be the slowest in football (context-neutralized) at the present time.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game against the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: fewest in the league.

Austin Hooper's 1.2 adjusted catches per game this year represents an impressive reduction in his receiving talent over last year's 2.5 rate.

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