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Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

Austin Hooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-143).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has given up the 9th-highest Completion% in the league (78%) versus TEs this year (78.0%).

The Indianapolis Colts linebackers project as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Tennessee Titans have utilized play action on 30.3% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

The Tennessee Titans have gone no-huddle on 11.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Tennessee Titans have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling just 52.2 plays per game.

Opposing QBs have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 7th-least in the NFL.

Austin Hooper's 16.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 25.2.

The Tennessee Titans offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.

Austin Hooper's receiving performance has tailed off this season, compiling a measly 1.3 yards per game vs 2.6 last season.

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