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Austin Hooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-123/-104).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -123.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Austin Hooper has been a big part of his team's offense, posting a Target Share of 12.1% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 78th percentile among tight ends.The Washington Commanders linebackers profile as the 4th-worst unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.The Tennessee Titans have used play action on 30.3% of their passing plays since the start of last season (7th-most in the league), causing the defense to bite on the run and resulting in much higher passing production.The Tennessee Titans have gone no-huddle on 11.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat accumulation.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.THE BLITZ projects the Titans to call the 6th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 50.5 plays per game.The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all air attack metrics across the board.Austin Hooper's receiving performance has declined this year, compiling a mere 1.3 yards per game compared to 2.6 last year.
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