Austin Hooper Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Austin Hooper

TE · Tennessee Titans

Receptions

Buffalo Bills vs Tennessee Titans · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 20, 2022 3:00 AM UTC

Analysis

Austin Hooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+111/-146).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -124 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -146.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans are a heavy 10-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
The Tennessee Titans have called the 5th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 65.3 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Austin Hooper to accumulate 4.2 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile among tight ends.
Austin Hooper has been an integral part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 12.2% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 78th percentile among tight ends.
The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 56.9% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game against the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in the NFL.
The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing game statistics across the board.