Austin Hooper Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Austin Hooper

NFL · Player Props

Austin Hooper

TE · Tennessee Titans

Receptions

Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 27, 2022 8:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Austin Hooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-155).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Austin Hooper to accrue 3.8 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among tight ends.
Austin Hooper's 28.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the NFL: 84th percentile for tight ends.
Austin Hooper's possession skills have improved this year, with his Completion% increasing from 68.0% to 80.1%.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has conceded the 4th-highest Completion% in the league (79.7%) versus tight ends this year (79.7%).
The Cincinnati Bengals defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.58 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the slowest in the league since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 7th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 52.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 52.7 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line profiles as the 2nd-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

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