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Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

Austin Hooper has been much more involved in his team's pass attack this year (11.4% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (5.3%).

After accumulating 7.0 air yards per game last season, Austin Hooper has produced significantly more this season, now averaging 18.0 per game.

With an excellent 5.73 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (80th percentile) this year, Austin Hooper ranks as one of the leading pass-catching tight ends in the NFL in the open field.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Patriots to pass on 52.9% of their chances: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

The projections expect the Patriots to call the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The 10th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Patriots this year (only 56.2 per game on average).

The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Opposing teams teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Tennessee Titans, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (a measly 27.9 per game) this year.

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