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Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 7-point advantage, the Patriots are a huge favorite in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on running than their typical game plan.

Austin Hooper's 11.0% Target Share this year marks a significant improvement in his passing game workload over last year's 5.3% figure.

After accumulating 7.0 air yards per game last year, Austin Hooper has produced significantly more this year, currently boasting 19.0 per game.

Austin Hooper's talent in generating extra yardage have gotten better this year, notching 6.83 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs just 5.68 figure last year.

The New York Jets pass defense has struggled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, conceding an average of 5.82 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Patriots as the 11th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 55.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The New England Patriots have run the 10th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 55.7 plays per game.

Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the Jets, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 30.7 per game) this year.

In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Patriots profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year.

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