My Account Log Out

reorder

Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New England Patriots vs Houston Texans

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the Patriots being a -4.5-point underdog in this game.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 127.8 offensive plays called: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.

Austin Hooper has been much more involved in his offense's passing offense this season (11.2% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (5.3%).

After totaling 7.0 air yards per game last season, Austin Hooper has produced significantly more this season, now averaging 19.0 per game.

With an impressive 6.50 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (88th percentile) since the start of last season, Austin Hooper rates as one of the best pass-catching TEs in the NFL in the open field.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Patriots to be the 3rd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 50.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Patriots grades out as the 5th-worst in the league this year.

Austin Hooper's 48.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this season conveys a remarkable diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last season's 81.0% figure.

Austin Hooper's receiving efficiency has declined this season, notching just 5.87 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 7.87 figure last season.

This year, the imposing Texans defense has conceded a feeble 18.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the 2nd-best in the league.

More Austin Hooper Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™