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Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -4.5-point underdog in this game.

Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being forecasted in this game) usually cause better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.

Austin Hooper's 11.5% Target Share this year indicates a remarkable improvement in his pass attack workload over last year's 5.3% rate.

Austin Hooper has notched quite a few more air yards this season (15.0 per game) than he did last season (7.0 per game).

With an impressive 6.58 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (88th percentile) since the start of last season, Austin Hooper places as one of the leading pass-catching TEs in the NFL in the open field.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 54.3% of their chances: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to have only 124.5 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 26.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Dolphins defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

The Patriots O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all pass game stats across the board.

Austin Hooper's 52.5% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a significant diminishment in his receiving skills over last year's 81.0% figure.

More Austin Hooper Player Props

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