|
|
Austin Hooper Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-120).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -120.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
At a -6-point disadvantage, the Patriots are underdogs this week, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their standard game plan.This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.Austin Hooper has accumulated significantly more air yards this year (22.0 per game) than he did last year (7.0 per game).Austin Hooper's 23.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 9.9.Austin Hooper's 26.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season illustrates a noteable improvement in his pass-catching talent over last season's 15.0 figure.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
The projections expect this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the New England Patriots grades out as the worst in the league this year.Austin Hooper's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 81.0% to 73.1%.This year, the strong Cardinals defense has given up the 10th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing tight ends: a meager 7.0 yards.This year, the formidable Arizona Cardinals pass defense has conceded the 7th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing TEs: a mere 4.2 YAC.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
