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Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Patriots, who are giant -7.5-point underdogs.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to pass on 59.0% of their chances: the 5th-highest rate on the slate this week.

After totaling 7.0 air yards per game last year, Austin Hooper has produced significantly more this year, now sitting at 19.0 per game.

Austin Hooper's 22.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 9.9.

Austin Hooper has totaled significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (22.0) this year than he did last year (15.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

When talking about pocket protection (and the significance it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the New England Patriots grades out as the worst in football this year.

Austin Hooper's 66.9% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a noteworthy diminishment in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 81.0% mark.

This year, the daunting Dolphins defense has given up a feeble 70.7% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 4th-smallest rate in the league.

This year, the strong Dolphins defense has allowed the 9th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing TEs: a puny 6.5 yards.

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