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Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Austin Hooper Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Patriots, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
  • The projections expect the New England Patriots offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.38 seconds per play.
  • After totaling 7.0 air yards per game last year, Austin Hooper has produced significantly more this year, currently boasting 16.0 per game.
  • Austin Hooper's 20.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 9.9.
  • With an outstanding 5.88 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (76th percentile) this year, Austin Hooper stands among the best pass-game TEs in the NFL in the open field.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 54.9% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • The New England Patriots O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • Austin Hooper's sure-handedness have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 81.0% to 61.4%.
  • Austin Hooper's pass-game effectiveness has diminished this season, notching just 5.34 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 7.87 figure last season.

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