Austin Hooper Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Austin Hooper

NFL · Player Props

Austin Hooper

TE · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 30, 2023 11:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raiders will be forced to use backup QB Brian Hoyer in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Raiders are a massive 7-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Lions defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (40.0 per game) this year.
In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Raiders grades out as the best in the league this year.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are anticipated by the model to run just 60.7 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.
The Las Vegas Raiders have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.4 plays per game.
Austin Hooper has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (46.6% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (60.1%).
Austin Hooper has accrued far fewer air yards this season (8.0 per game) than he did last season (28.0 per game).
Austin Hooper's 17.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year shows a noteworthy drop-off in his receiving talent over last year's 26.0 figure.

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