Austin Hooper Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Austin Hooper

NFL · Player Props

Austin Hooper

TE · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+140/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -185.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raiders will be rolling out backup QB Brian Hoyer in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Chicago Bears defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (37.5 per game) this year.
When it comes to pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Las Vegas Raiders profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.
Austin Hooper's 89.1% Adjusted Catch% this season indicates a a meaningful gain in his pass-catching talent over last season's 75.6% figure.
Austin Hooper's receiving efficiency has gotten a boost this year, averaging 9.10 adjusted yards-per-target vs just 7.95 figure last year.

Favors Under

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 54.0% of their plays: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Our trusted projections expect the Raiders to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 60.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Raiders have run the 6th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 54.2 plays per game.
Austin Hooper has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (49.8% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (60.1%).
After totaling 28.0 air yards per game last season, Austin Hooper has significantly declined this season, currently sitting at 9.0 per game.

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