Austin Hooper Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Austin Hooper

NFL · Player Props

Austin Hooper

TE · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Green Bay Packers · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 10, 2023 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The the Las Vegas Raiders offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all pass game metrics across the board.
Austin Hooper's ball-catching skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 75.6% to 81.1%.
Austin Hooper's 10.5 adjusted yards per target this season represents a a remarkable boost in his pass-catching ability over last season's 8.0 rate.
The Green Bay Packers linebackers project as the worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Las Vegas Raiders as the 8th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 60.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to have only 123.6 offensive plays run: the fewest among all games this week.
The Las Vegas Raiders have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 51.8 plays per game.
Austin Hooper has been a much smaller part of his offense's passing offense this season (3.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (13.5%).
After accumulating 28.0 air yards per game last season, Austin Hooper has undergone a big decline this season, now averaging 11.0 per game.

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