Austin Hooper Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Austin Hooper

NFL · Player Props

Austin Hooper

TE · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 3:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Raiders being an enormous -14-point underdog in this week's contest.
The Raiders O-line ranks as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
Austin Hooper's ball-catching skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 75.6% to 93.4%.
With an exceptional 8.9 adjusted yards per target (87th percentile) this year, Austin Hooper ranks as one of the leading pass-catching tight ends in the NFL.
Austin Hooper's 6.21 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year signifies a significant gain in his efficiency in the open field over last year's 3.5% mark.

Favors Under

At the moment, the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (55.1% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Las Vegas Raiders.
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are forecasted by the predictive model to run only 62.8 total plays in this contest: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Raiders have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 53.6 plays per game.
Austin Hooper's 43.1% Route Participation Rate this year marks a meaningful decrease in his passing game volume over last year's 60.1% rate.
Austin Hooper has totaled quite a few less air yards this year (6.0 per game) than he did last year (28.0 per game).

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