Austin Hooper Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Austin Hooper

NFL · Player Props

Austin Hooper

TE · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raiders are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 8th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Austin Hooper has put up a monstrous 28.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 83rd percentile among tight ends.
The Denver Broncos defense has given up the 9th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (53.0) vs. TEs since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the 7th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Austin Hooper to be a much smaller part of his team's air attack this week (7.2% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (13.5% in games he has played).
The Denver Broncos safeties project as the 9th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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