Austin Hooper Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Austin Hooper

NFL · Player Props

Austin Hooper

TE · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 5:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indianapolis Colts defense has yielded the 10th-most receiving yards per game in football (56.0) to TEs this year.
The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has given up the 9th-highest Completion% in the league (77.9%) versus TEs this year (77.9%).
The Indianapolis Colts linebackers project as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Tennessee Titans have utilized play action on 30.3% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling just 52.2 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 7th-least in the NFL.
Austin Hooper has compiled quite a few less air yards this year (14.0 per game) than he did last year (21.0 per game).

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