Austin Hooper Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Austin Hooper

NFL · Player Props

Austin Hooper

TE · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 4:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-106/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans are a 4-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 8th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.
Austin Hooper has been a key part of his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 12.4% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 79th percentile among tight ends.
Austin Hooper has accumulated a monstrous 21.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 75th percentile among TEs.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has given up the most receiving yards per game in football (63.0) vs. TEs since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Titans to run the 3rd-least total plays on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
Austin Hooper's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Completion% falling off from 68.0% to 59.7%.

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