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Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Austin Hooper Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-106/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -124.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are a 4-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the 8th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.
  • Austin Hooper has been a key part of his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 12.4% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 79th percentile among tight ends.
  • Austin Hooper has accumulated a monstrous 21.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 75th percentile among TEs.
  • The Indianapolis Colts defense has given up the most receiving yards per game in football (63.0) vs. TEs since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Titans to run the 3rd-least total plays on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • The Tennessee Titans offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • Austin Hooper's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Completion% falling off from 68.0% to 59.7%.

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