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Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 2

Buffalo Bills vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Austin Hooper Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+376/-768).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +423 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +376.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are a heavy 10-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • The Tennessee Titans have called the 5th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 65.3 plays per game.
  • Austin Hooper has been an integral part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 19.7% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 92nd percentile among tight ends.
  • Austin Hooper has received a colossal 8.1% of his team's air yards since the start of last season: 82nd percentile among tight ends.
  • Austin Hooper's 24.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in football: 77th percentile for tight ends.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game against the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in the NFL.
  • The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • The Buffalo Bills pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64.6%) to TEs since the start of last season (64.6%).

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