Austin Hooper Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Austin Hooper

TE · Tennessee Titans

Receiving TD

Buffalo Bills vs Tennessee Titans · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 20, 2022 3:00 AM UTC

Analysis

Austin Hooper Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+376/-768).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +423 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +376.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans are a heavy 10-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
The Tennessee Titans have called the 5th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 65.3 plays per game.
Austin Hooper has been an integral part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 19.7% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 92nd percentile among tight ends.
Austin Hooper has received a colossal 8.1% of his team's air yards since the start of last season: 82nd percentile among tight ends.
Austin Hooper's 24.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in football: 77th percentile for tight ends.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game against the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in the NFL.
The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
The Buffalo Bills pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64.6%) to TEs since the start of last season (64.6%).