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Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 15

Los Angeles Chargers vs Tennessee Titans

Austin Hooper Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+313/-569).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -518 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -569.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.

The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Austin Hooper has been a big part of his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 13.0% this year, which places him in the 77th percentile among TEs.

Austin Hooper has notched quite a few more air yards this year (28.0 per game) than he did last year (21.0 per game).

Austin Hooper's 29.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 84th percentile for tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Tennessee Titans have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 52.8 plays per game.

The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Completion% in football (59.3%) to TEs this year (59.3%).

The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers rank as the 6th-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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