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Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 12

Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals

Austin Hooper Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+353/-691).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +363 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +353.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Austin Hooper has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 13.5% this year, which puts him in the 78th percentile among TEs.

Austin Hooper has compiled a colossal 26.0 air yards per game this year: 81st percentile among TEs.

Austin Hooper's 28.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the NFL: 84th percentile for tight ends.

Austin Hooper's possession skills have improved this year, with his Completion% increasing from 68.0% to 80.1%.

The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has conceded the 4th-highest Completion% in the league (79.7%) versus tight ends this year (79.7%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Tennessee Titans have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 52.7 plays per game.

The weatherman calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

The Tennessee Titans offensive line profiles as the 2nd-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

The Cincinnati Bengals defense has conceded the 8th-least touchdowns through the air in the league to tight ends: 0.20 per game this year.

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