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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Washington Commanders this year (a whopping 60.1 per game on average).
  • Austin Ekeler's rushing efficiency has gotten better this year, accumulating 4.82 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to just 3.45 figure last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Commanders, who are giant -8.5-point underdogs.
  • The leading projections forecast the Washington Commanders as the 2nd-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 39.7% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Commanders to call the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.2 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Austin Ekeler has been a much smaller part of his team's rushing attack this year (24.0% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (52.5%).

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