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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Washington Commanders

Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to have just 128.9 offensive plays called: the lowest number on the slate this week.

The Washington Commanders have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 59.8 plays per game.

Austin Ekeler's running effectiveness has been refined this year, compiling 5.00 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a mere 3.45 mark last year.

As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Tampa Bay's DE corps has been very bad this year, grading out as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Commanders are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

The Commanders have been the 6th-least run-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 37.5% run rate.

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may fall-off.

After making up 52.5% of his offense's rush attempts last year, Austin Ekeler has been less involved in the run game this year, now comprising just 23.8%.

Austin Ekeler's 32.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year shows a substantial drop-off in his rushing skills over last year's 44.0 figure.

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