Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Austin Ekeler

NFL · Player Props

Austin Ekeler

RB · Los Angeles Chargers

Rushing Yards

New York Jets vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 7, 2023 12:46 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 47.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 48.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Chargers offensive strategy to skew 2.4% more towards the run game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Kellen Moore now calling the plays.
This week's line suggests a rushing game script for the Chargers, who are favored by 3 points.
The projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to call the 4th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.1 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
In this week's contest, Austin Ekeler is forecasted by the predictive model to position himself in the 87th percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.6 carries.
Austin Ekeler has garnered 52.4% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, putting him in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chargers to run on 40.8% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
The Chargers O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL last year at opening holes for runners.
Austin Ekeler's 3.7 adjusted yards per carry this season illustrates a noteworthy regression in his running ability over last season's 4.9 figure.
The New York defensive tackles rank as the 8th-best group of DTs in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

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