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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Los Angeles Chargers vs Buffalo Bills

Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 45.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.5 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The Bills defense has had the 4th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, surrendering 4.80 adjusted yards-per-carry.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Los Angeles Chargers may rely on the pass game less in this week's contest (and call more carries) because they be starting backup quarterback Easton Stick.

This week's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Chargers, who are huge -12.5-point underdogs.

The model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 3rd-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 37.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may slide.

While Austin Ekeler has garnered 54.1% of his team's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much less involved in Los Angeles's running game in this week's game at 43.4%.

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