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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers

Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 53.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 48.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Chargers offensive approach to tilt 2.1% more towards the ground game than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Kellen Moore now calling the plays.

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Chargers are favored in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on running than their typical game plan.

The projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to call the 3rd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.0 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

In this contest, Austin Ekeler is forecasted by the projections to place in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs with 16.3 carries.

Out of all RBs, Austin Ekeler grades out in the 86th percentile for carries this year, comprising 54.5% of the workload in his team's ground game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 5th-least run-centric offense in the league (34.7% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Los Angeles Chargers.

The Chargers offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in the league last year at blocking for the run game.

Austin Ekeler's 3.9 adjusted yards per carry this year conveys a remarkable drop-off in his rushing skills over last year's 4.9 rate.

The Patriots defense has had the 3rd-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, yielding just 3.77 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

The Patriots safeties grade out as the best unit in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

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