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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 60.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 55.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers offensive scheme to lean 2.6% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Kellen Moore now calling the plays.
  • The Chargers are a 3-point favorite this week, indicating a running game script.
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Chargers are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 66.7 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week.
  • In this week's contest, Austin Ekeler is forecasted by the model to slot into the 89th percentile among running backs with 16.5 rush attempts.
  • Austin Ekeler has garnered 56.5% of his offense's run game usage this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 8th-least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 40.6% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • When talking about opening holes for runners (and the influence it has on all ground game stats), the offensive line of the Chargers profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL last year.
  • Austin Ekeler's 3.8 adjusted yards per carry this year marks an impressive decline in his rushing proficiency over last year's 4.9 mark.
  • Austin Ekeler rates as one of the worst running backs in the NFL at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging just 2.40 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 12th percentile.

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