Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Austin Ekeler

NFL · Player Props

Austin Ekeler

RB · Los Angeles Chargers

Rushing Yards

Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 7:25 PM UTC

Analysis

Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 56.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 57.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chargers are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 67.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 61.0 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Austin Ekeler to garner 13.1 rush attempts in this game, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile among RBs.
Austin Ekeler has received 55.2% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking in the 87th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 8th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 37.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Austin Ekeler's ground efficiency has declined this season, notching a measly 2.55 yards-per-carry vs a 4.74 figure last season.
Austin Ekeler has been among the weakest RBs in the NFL at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging a lowly 2.41 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 17th percentile.
The Los Angeles Chargers have faced a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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