Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Austin Ekeler

RB · Los Angeles Chargers

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 26, 2022 2:35 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chargers are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Austin Ekeler to accrue 13.1 carries in this contest, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
Austin Ekeler has received 54.9% of his offense's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 87th percentile among running backs.
The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.
Austin Ekeler has generated 59.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in football among RBs (90th percentile).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 3rd-least run-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 34.5% run rate.
Opposing offenses have played at the 9th-slowest pace in football (adjusted for context) against the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season, averaging 28.59 seconds per snap.
Austin Ekeler's ground effectiveness has diminished this year, totaling a measly 2.78 yards-per-carry compared to a 4.74 mark last year.
Austin Ekeler has been among the worst running backs in the league at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging a measly 2.36 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 19th percentile.
The Los Angeles Chargers have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.